Giuliani and Pataki: New York’s Potential Influence on Presidential 2012 Race

Giuliani and Pataki: New York’s Potential Influence on Presidential 2012 Race

Giuliani and Pataki: New York’s Potential Influence on Presidential 2012 Race

In a Politico article entitled, “Path to White House is a Dirt Road” by Phillip Hayes, the point was made that Barack Obama, and his future GOP competitor, will have to win over rural voters in America’s “breadbasket” in order to gain (or regain) the title of “commander-and-chief.” The current GOP field suggests that such an omen would work against the presidential 2012 re-election efforts of President Obama. However, that may not be so if either Pataki or Giuliani do in fact decide to announce their candidacy. Former New York Governor, George Pataki, and former New York Mayor, Rudy Giuliani, would swing the GOP field back towards the center and away from its current socially conservative axis. In a recent opinion article, Nate Silver of the New York Times laid out how these two former New York politicians would fit into the presidential 2012 field, and how he feels they would need to maneuver their way to a republican nomination. Both Pataki and Giuliani would struggle, like Obama, with the more populist, socially conservative Republican voters of the heartland. However, their more moderate stances and their “establishment” angles would be of great aid to them in a general presidential 2012 election to gain the more coastal, political moderates and independents.

New York television station NY1 announced that Pataki could announce his election bid as early as the beginning of next week, despite having stated in April 2011 that he would not be running in the presidential 2012 race. In June, Pataki stated on the air of a Boston radio station that “I really am seriously thinking about running for president” because “I have yet to hear a Republican candidate stand up and make getting rid of the debt and the deficit a cornerstone of their campaign, and offer specific solutions.” Meanwhile, Rudy Giuliani, who has garnered much more media attention, will not be making any comment regarding a possible presidential 2012 bid until after all 9/11 memorial events according to close sources. However, after being placed on a list of serious contenders invited to Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC) candidate forum, any such announcement by Giuliani will likely be seen by many as a mere formality.

The introduction of either of these two as an electoral contender will not only complicate Obama’s re-election strategy, but would make events like last this month’s lucrative Battery Park fundraiser only one of many campaign events on the island.

Read more Nate Silver’s Commentary on Pataki and Giuliani



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